The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable by Nassim Nicholas Taleb (Paperback, 2008)

The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable by Nassim Nicholas Taleb (Paperback, 2008) Nassim Nicholas Taleb's phenomenal international bestseller The Black Swan The Impact of the Highly Improbable shows us how to stop trying to predict everything - and take advantage of uncertainty What have the invention of the wheel Pompeii the Wall Street Crash Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? What can Catherine the Great's lovers tell us about probability? Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper? This book is all about Black Swans the random events that underlie our lives from bestsellers to world disasters Their impact is huge; they're impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them 'Taleb is a bouncy and even exhilarating guide I came to relish what he said and even develop a sneaking affection for him as a person' Will Self Independent on Sunday 'He leaps like some superhero of the mind' Boyd Tonkin Independent 'Funny quirky and thought-provoking confirms his status as a guru for every would-be Damien Hirst George Soros and aspirant despot' John Cornwell Sunday Times 'Idiosyncratically brilliant' Niall Ferguson Sunday Telegraph 'Great fun brash stubborn entertaining opinionated curious cajoling' Stephen J Dubner Co-Author of Freakonomics
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